Arizona's blue moment

The Grand Canyon State is on the verge of electing a Democrat to what was once a safe GOP Senate seat

Kyrsten Simena and Martha McSally.
(Image credit: Illustrated | tonda/iStock)

Can Republicans defy midterm history and strengthen their position in the Senate? The answer might hinge on a state the party has until recently taken for granted — and which thus far looks surprisingly resistant to Republican messaging.

The battle for the Senate could come down to Arizona, where two sitting congresswomen — Democrat Kyrsten Sinema and Republican Martha McSally — are locked in a very tight race to fill the seat being vacated by retiring GOP Sen. Jeff Flake. The RealClearPolitics poll average puts Sinema 0.2 percent ahead. This lead is in spite of a constant stream of embarrassing revelations from Sinema — which could signal difficulties for the GOP on Tuesday.

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Edward Morrissey

Edward Morrissey has been writing about politics since 2003 in his blog, Captain's Quarters, and now writes for HotAir.com. His columns have appeared in the Washington Post, the New York Post, The New York Sun, the Washington Times, and other newspapers. Morrissey has a daily Internet talk show on politics and culture at Hot Air. Since 2004, Morrissey has had a weekend talk radio show in the Minneapolis/St. Paul area and often fills in as a guest on Salem Radio Network's nationally-syndicated shows. He lives in the Twin Cities area of Minnesota with his wife, son and daughter-in-law, and his two granddaughters. Morrissey's new book, GOING RED, will be published by Crown Forum on April 5, 2016.